The future of work: staying on the positive side of technology

The long-term effects of the Covid-19 crisis are still mainly in the dark, but it is already clear that our experiences with remote work will shape the future of work going forward. Our increased use of technology already leads to cleaner air and lower CO2 emissions, improves work-life balances, and increases collaboration. Technology has always paved the way for a better future. We created it to benefit us. But its use requires cautious decisions that balance the positive and negative…

Continue Reading The future of work: staying on the positive side of technology

The 4th industrial revolution is a dangerous myth

The fourth Industrial Revolution has not started yet. We are still in the Integration Phase of the Third Industrial Revolution. Not recognising this may mislead and prevent us from understanding the true nature and potential about what is happening at the moment. The false start into the 4th industrial revolution The possibilities and automation potential of the technologies currently at our hand, including AI, IoT, and robotics are astounding. There are so astounding that some suspect the beginning of a…

Continue Reading The 4th industrial revolution is a dangerous myth

More predictions for a Post-Corona World

This article is inspired by Emma Rose Bienvenu’s article 7 Predictions for a Post-Coronavirus World Futurism is a discussion that thrives on openness, diversity, inspiration, and productive dissent. Let’s discuss this. As much as we feel that Covid-19 is a life-changing experience, the world we grew up in still exists and works. The recent developments may not be permanent. A data point does not make a trend. You need at least two. But in turbulent times, even this may not…

Continue Reading More predictions for a Post-Corona World

Who should you blame for Covid-19?

Blame flows freely when things get out of hand, people die, and economies collapse. We cannot blame a virus. So blame shifts to individuals, authorities, and institutions all the way up to the UN and EU. Blame is attributed to not preparing, not communicating, not acting, or doing it too late and insufficiently. I think we need to look at this differentiated and would like to suggest that we distinguish between politics and administrations as well as systems and individuals.…

Continue Reading Who should you blame for Covid-19?

Future of logistics report released

Background The report builds on a 2017 study issued by the German Logistics Association BVL. The BVL Singapore members wanted to review, update it and especially add the Asian perspective. Thomas Martin from Forward Intelligence Group created an initial trend map from the report that served as an input to a workshop conducted with the BVL Singapore members. In that workshop, the team discussed and aligned their views on how the industry works and will evolve in Asia. As a…

Continue Reading Future of logistics report released

Is the Balkanisation of democracies a consequence of increasing individuality?

Catalan just failed in its attempt to secede from Spain. Many other territories, even in the EU are at risk. In all cases, groups of people want more autonomy or establish an independent country. There are at least two different drivers: Wrong borders. Borders that were drawn by (colonial) powers irrespective of ethnic realities that force people to live together that were not meant to live together. The most prominent case that gave this development a name is the Balkan. Today…

Continue Reading Is the Balkanisation of democracies a consequence of increasing individuality?

Fake news is hard to come by

This comprehensive analysis of the fake news situation by the Pew Research Center is a fascinating account of the complexity of the situation. They queried more than 1,000 experts about their opinion on the fake news situation: will it improve or not? The experts are divided: 51% for 49% against. The analysis goes deeply into the drivers, dependencies and also the history of the topic. It touches on political, economic, social, technology, and legal facts and trends and paints a very…

Continue Reading Fake news is hard to come by

Hard trend alert: Teal organizations in the context of human development

In his book Reinventing Organizations: A Guide to Creating Organizations Inspired by the Next Stage of Human Consciousness Frederic Laloux presented a model for the evolution of organizations that uses colors to describe each stage starting with ancient red “wolf pack” organizations that form under a total “chief” leader. You can get a good overview of the different stages and the overall concept in this article. The final stage is teal. Teal organizations are self-managed living entities that move toward…

Continue Reading Hard trend alert: Teal organizations in the context of human development

Do you work for free?

I remember talking to a friend a couple of years ago about mobile applications. I was working at Microsoft at that time, a company that makes money with software. He waved his Android phone and said: "why should I pay for anything?". I tried to explain it to him. He is academic, highly intelligent and in a very senior position far away from the software industry. He didn't get it. He already was too deep into the "freebie economy". He…

Continue Reading Do you work for free?

ESPAS publishes survey on foresight in governments

ESPAS publishes survey on foresight in governments The European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS) has published initial findings from a survey of foresight activities across 22 countries including Australia, Brazil, China, Indonesia, Russia, Sweden and US. The authors highlight their findings in a short report that looks at how foresight programmes are structured, and how they are integrated with policy-making. After a brief, historical survey of contemporary foresight, the study explores how different countries approach foresight. They find that developing countries are more likely to produce “centralised planning documents linked to a vision…

Continue Reading ESPAS publishes survey on foresight in governments